The market next week: Sumeet Bagadia’s 3 Stock Recommendations

 

In the week ending July 7, the Indian market continued its record-breaking streak, driven by foreign institutional investor (FII) buying, progress in the monsoon season, and expectations of positive Q1 earnings.

-The Sensex, consisting of 30 stocks, increased by 0.86% to reach 65,280.45, surpassing the 65,000 mark for the first time.

-Similarly, the Nifty, a broad-based index, rose by 0.74% to close at 19,331.80, crossing the 19,500 level.

-Throughout the week, both the Sensex and Nifty achieved new highs, touching 65,898.98 and 19,523.60, respectively.

In terms of sectors, the BSE oil & gas index rose by 4.6%, while the realty and auto indices each increased by 2%, and the FMCG index added 1.5%. The BSE large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap indices rose by 0.7%, 0.8%, and 1.6% respectively.

The manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) expanding to 57.8 indicated strong economic activity and sustained demand, boosting confidence in the manufacturing sector’s prospects. Provisional business numbers from banks, automakers, and real estate companies also contributed to investor confidence. Additionally, the support provided by FIIs further strengthened the domestic market.

However, trade tensions between the US and China and uncertainties arising from the hawkish US Federal Reserve meeting minutes tested global investors’ risk appetite.

Related Read: Will the Nifty Reach 21,000?

Factors to Watchout Coming Week

Towards the end of the week, the market showed some signs of weariness and experienced a slight decline. Given the high market valuation, profit booking was observed at the upper band of the rally.

Market participants are now eagerly awaiting domestic and US inflation numbers to gain insights into the sustainability of the ongoing rally.

-The anticipation of a potential rate action from the US Federal Reserve in its upcoming meeting led to a slump in overseas markets.

-There are concerns that inflation may persist at higher levels, leading to a north-bound trajectory in interest rates, which could cause short-term turbulence.

Considering the market dynamics and the analysis provided by Sumeet Bagadia, Executive Director at Choice Broking, here is a trading strategy for the stock market next week:

Resistance and Support Levels:

The Nifty is currently facing resistance at 19,500, and breaching this level is essential for further upside potential. On the downside, the Nifty has immediate support at 19,250. Pay close attention to how the index behaves around these levels.

Bank Nifty Sell-off Pressure:

The Bank Nifty has lost the crucial psychological level of 45,000, indicating the possibility of further selling pressure. Monitor the Bank Nifty closely as it may continue to face downward pressure.

As the Nifty faces resistance at 19,500, wait for confirmation of a bullish breakout above this level before considering long positions. Look for stocks that exhibit strength and positive technical indicators. Monitor the Bank Nifty for signs of stabilization or a potential rebound before considering buying opportunities in the banking sector.

Remember, these strategies are based on the provided information and general market analysis. Conduct your own research, assess your risk tolerance, and consider seeking advice from a financial advisor or broker for personalized guidance tailored to your specific investment goals.

Also Read:Biggest Positive Development in Tata Power

Here are the stock recommendations provided by Sumeet Bagadia for next week:

 

Related Read: Tata Technologies IPO – Unlisted Share Price, Company, Business, Rally in Tata Motors: All You Need to Know
 

Tata Motors:

 

  • Buy range: Rs 619
  • Medium-term outlookTarget: Rs 650
  • Stop loss: Rs 590
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    The Technical
     
    -Tata Motors has formed a higher high higher low pattern on the charts, indicating a positive trend.

    -The stock is trading at all-time high levels and is currently moving above all important moving averages, signaling continued upward momentum.

    -Strong volumes support the recent price increase, indicating strength in the stock.

    -Any potential dips can be viewed as buying opportunities.

    -On a weekly timeframe, the stock has given a breakout of an inverted head and shoulder pattern, further confirming the bullishness.

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    Cipla:

     

     
    The Technical
     
    -Cipla recently retested a crucial support level of Rs 1000, which also coincides with the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA).

    -The stock’s nearest resistance level is around Rs 1030. If it breaks above this barrier, it has the potential to increase towards the target range of Rs 1060.

    -The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is currently trading at 63, supporting the stock’s upward movement.

    -Cipla is trading above all important moving averages, indicating positive momentum.

    -The stock has also rebounded from the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and is heading toward the upper band.

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